Atlanta Dream · 38 completed regular-season games · next model game against Portland Fire on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 38 games and 535 attempts. Last game: 20260824.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 24 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 78-71 | 33 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-6 | +20 |
| Aug 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 99-89 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-8 | +10 |
| Aug 20 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 124-88 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-2 | +23 |
| Aug 18 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 97-82 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-5 | +10 |
| Aug 16 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 91-95 | 42 | 32 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11-24 | 4-7 | -7 |
| Aug 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 104-69 | 28 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8-13 | 4-5 | +28 |
| Aug 10 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 107-95 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 | +15 |
| Aug 7 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 74-79 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11-23 | 2-9 | -2 |
| Aug 5 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 96-82 | 29 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-8 | +18 |
| Aug 3 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 87-109 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-6 | -3 |
| Jul 31 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 98-89 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-4 | +9 |
| Jul 29 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 82-81 | 34 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-3 | +3 |
| Jul 19 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 93-91 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7-11 | 4-6 | -1 |
| Jul 17 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 111-92 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-12 | 2-5 | +16 |
| Jul 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 101-92 | 33 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-6 | +8 |
| Jul 11 | Portland Fire | Home | L 92-102 | 31 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-18 | 1-6 | -1 |
| Jul 9 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 89-78 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 1-3 | +15 |
| Jul 4 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 83-88 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-17 | 1-5 | -13 |
| Jul 2 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 76-81 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7-15 | 0-4 | -3 |
| Jun 27 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 90-105 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-16 | 1-7 | -20 |
| Jun 26 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 75-78 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-4 | -5 |
| Jun 24 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 66-77 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-5 | -22 |
| Jun 22 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 94-87 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5-15 | 1-6 | +23 |
| Jun 20 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 113-96 | 33 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9-18 | 2-6 | +23 |
| Jun 18 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 108-101 | 34 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-3 | +16 |
| Jun 14 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 102-77 | 35 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8-14 | 5-9 | +26 |
| Jun 11 | New York Liberty | Home | L 90-104 | 31 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 | -1 |
| Jun 9 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 82-75 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-1 | +8 |
| Jun 6 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 109-77 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | +14 |
| Jun 4 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 71-83 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5-18 | 0-4 | -11 |
| Jun 2 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 91-75 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9-17 | 3-9 | +15 |
| May 29 | Portland Fire | Away | W 86-66 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3-12 | 3-7 | +26 |
| May 27 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 81-96 | 31 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 5-8 | -15 |
| May 24 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 82-80 | 36 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-5 | +7 |
| May 22 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 86-69 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-3 | +12 |
| May 17 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 84-85 | 37 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8-18 | 1-5 | +1 |
| May 12 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 77-72 | 34 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9-20 | 4-9 | +9 |
| May 9 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 91-90 | 33 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7-18 | 1-8 | +13 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-por-atl | Portland Fire | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 32.0 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 24.8 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 1.5: model 1.8 vs RotoWire 1.8 vs internal injury model 1.9. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 32.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 57.5%, EV -0.073 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Allisha Gray · ATL | 3PM | 1.8 | 1.8 | +0.1 | +5.6 | +22.9 | +8.7 | -0.1 | 1.5-163 | over ATLArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.3 | 57.5%Market 62.0% | -0.073u-7.3% model ROI | Draftkings | Medium research signal | Over 1.5: model 1.8 vs RotoWire 1.8 vs internal injury model 1.9. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 32.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 57.5%, EV -0.073 units per unit risked. |