Indiana Fever · 35 completed regular-season games · next model game against Connecticut Sun on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 35 games and 431 attempts. Last game: 20260822.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 22 | New York Liberty | Away | L 102-109 | 30 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-4 | -3 |
| Aug 20 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 85-91 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 | +2 |
| Aug 18 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 101-95 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7-14 | 0-2 | +17 |
| Aug 16 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 95-91 | 37 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6-16 | 0-4 | +13 |
| Aug 14 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 98-87 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-1 | +14 |
| Aug 11 | New York Liberty | Home | W 106-92 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 3-5 | +7 |
| Aug 8 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 90-86 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-1 | +23 |
| Aug 6 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 84-86 | 38 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-5 | -9 |
| Aug 2 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 100-108 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-4 | -8 |
| Jul 31 | Portland Fire | Away | W 112-98 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Jul 28 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 105-95 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 | +3 |
| Jul 22 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 123-88 | 20 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10-14 | 0-0 | +26 |
| Jul 18 | New York Liberty | Home | W 108-88 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-2 | +3 |
| Jul 15 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 75-88 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-3 | +1 |
| Jul 12 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 109-75 | 29 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9-14 | 1-3 | +16 |
| Jul 9 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 92-89 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9-16 | 3-5 | +7 |
| Jul 5 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 84-68 | 31 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-4 | +16 |
| Jun 27 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 111-87 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5-6 | 1-1 | +23 |
| Jun 24 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 109-111 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9-16 | 1-4 | -2 |
| Jun 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 86-77 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 | +10 |
| Jun 20 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 96-113 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-3 | -8 |
| Jun 18 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 101-108 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8-15 | 1-2 | -2 |
| Jun 16 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 113-91 | 26 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-2 | +6 |
| Jun 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 85-75 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-2 | +16 |
| Jun 11 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 114-106 | 32 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13-26 | 2-5 | +9 |
| Jun 8 | Washington Mystics | Away | W 78-76 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Jun 6 | New York Liberty | Away | L 75-83 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-3 | -14 |
| Jun 4 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 83-71 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-4 | +8 |
| May 30 | Portland Fire | Away | L 84-100 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-1 | -14 |
| May 28 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 88-90 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | -2 |
| May 22 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | W 90-82 | 29 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8-15 | 1-3 | +15 |
| May 20 | Portland Fire | Home | W 90-73 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-11 | 2-4 | +22 |
| May 15 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 102-104 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | -12 |
| May 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 87-78 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | +9 |
| May 9 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 104-107 | 26 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 0 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-con-ind | Connecticut Sun | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 29.0 | 18.1 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 30.5 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 16.5: model 16.9 vs RotoWire 16.7 vs internal injury model 18.2. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.9, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.8%, EV -0.074 units per unit risked.
Over 0.5: model 1.0 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 1.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.0, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 62.3%, EV -0.064 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Aliyah Boston · IND | PTS | 16.9 | 16.7 | +0.1 | +8.2 | -19.4 | +13.6 | +0.9 | 16.5-127 | over INDArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.4 | 51.8%Market 55.9% | -0.074u-7.4% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 16.5: model 16.9 vs RotoWire 16.7 vs internal injury model 18.2. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.9, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.8%, EV -0.074 units per unit risked. |
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Aliyah Boston · IND | 3PM | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.1 | +8.2 | -19.4 | +13.6 | -0.0 | 0.5-199 | over INDArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.5 | 62.3%Market 66.6% | -0.064u-6.4% model ROI | Draftkings | High research signal | Over 0.5: model 1.0 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 1.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.0, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 62.3%, EV -0.064 units per unit risked. |