Indiana Fever · 35 completed regular-season games · next model game against Connecticut Sun on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 35 games and 549 attempts. Last game: 20260823.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 23 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 113-90 | 32 | 37 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13-24 | 8-12 | +26 |
| Aug 22 | New York Liberty | Away | L 102-109 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9-18 | 2-6 | +2 |
| Aug 20 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 85-91 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-15 | 2-8 | -4 |
| Aug 18 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 101-95 | 33 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7-16 | 4-9 | -2 |
| Aug 16 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 95-91 | 41 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9-20 | 3-10 | +2 |
| Aug 14 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 98-87 | 34 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11-18 | 2-8 | +2 |
| Aug 11 | New York Liberty | Home | W 106-92 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7-15 | 4-8 | +7 |
| Aug 8 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 90-86 | 36 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7-15 | 5-6 | +5 |
| Aug 6 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 84-86 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 0 |
| Aug 2 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 100-108 | 34 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 8-18 | 2-9 | -7 |
| Jul 31 | Portland Fire | Away | W 112-98 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 | +23 |
| Jul 28 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 105-95 | 33 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9-14 | 4-7 | +7 |
| Jul 22 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 123-88 | 27 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 5-9 | +26 |
| Jul 18 | New York Liberty | Home | W 108-88 | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5-14 | 2-8 | +6 |
| Jul 17 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 110-107 | 29 | 45 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11-18 | 6-10 | +16 |
| Jul 15 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 75-88 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-8 | -8 |
| Jul 12 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 109-75 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 | +6 |
| Jul 8 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | L 92-106 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-6 | -16 |
| Jun 24 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 109-111 | 20 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-4 | -2 |
| Jun 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 86-77 | 29 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8-17 | 3-10 | +13 |
| Jun 20 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 96-113 | 34 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11-18 | 3-7 | -19 |
| Jun 18 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 101-108 | 31 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8-17 | 2-5 | -13 |
| Jun 16 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 113-91 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-8 | +14 |
| Jun 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 85-75 | 36 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10-17 | 5-10 | +15 |
| Jun 11 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 114-106 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8-18 | 1-6 | +14 |
| Jun 8 | Washington Mystics | Away | W 78-76 | 31 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7-16 | 4-10 | -1 |
| Jun 6 | New York Liberty | Away | L 75-83 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-14 | 2-6 | +3 |
| Jun 4 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 83-71 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6-17 | 2-8 | +2 |
| May 30 | Portland Fire | Away | L 84-100 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 | -8 |
| May 28 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 88-90 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-6 | -2 |
| May 22 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | W 90-82 | 32 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-9 | +7 |
| May 17 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 89-78 | 24 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-4 | +6 |
| May 15 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 102-104 | 37 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10-28 | 7-17 | +14 |
| May 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 87-78 | 31 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 9-17 | 1-7 | +5 |
| May 9 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 104-107 | 31 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7-18 | 2-9 | +2 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-con-ind | Connecticut Sun | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 34.0 | 22.3 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 35.1 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 3.5: model 4.0 vs RotoWire 5.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +8.5, 34.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 56.4%, EV +0.002 units per unit risked.
Over 2.5: model 2.5 vs RotoWire 2.7 vs internal injury model 2.6. shot zones -0.2, injury/rotation -0.1, 34.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.9%, EV -0.154 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Caitlin Clark · IND | REB | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -7.6 | -17.5 | +8.5 | 0.0 | 3.5-129 | over INDArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.5 | 56.4%Market 56.3% | +0.002u+0.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 3.5: model 4.0 vs RotoWire 5.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +8.5, 34.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 56.4%, EV +0.002 units per unit risked. |
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Caitlin Clark · IND | 3PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -0.2 | -7.6 | -17.5 | +8.5 | -0.1 | 2.5-151 | over INDArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.0 | 50.9%Market 60.2% | -0.154u-15.4% model ROI | Draftkings | Low research signal | Over 2.5: model 2.5 vs RotoWire 2.7 vs internal injury model 2.6. shot zones -0.2, injury/rotation -0.1, 34.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.9%, EV -0.154 units per unit risked. |