Portland Fire · 36 completed regular-season games · next model game against Atlanta Dream on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 36 games and 336 attempts. Last game: 20260825.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 25 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 78-96 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-5 | -19 |
| Aug 23 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 100-105 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7-8 | 3-4 | +16 |
| Aug 21 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 79-82 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 | +7 |
| Aug 16 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 88-85 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-7 | +7 |
| Aug 14 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 84-82 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 | +4 |
| Aug 12 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 81-85 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-5 | -6 |
| Aug 8 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 100-93 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 | +9 |
| Aug 6 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 97-83 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-2 | +18 |
| Aug 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | L 101-106 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-7 | +3 |
| Jul 31 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 98-112 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-3 | -13 |
| Jul 28 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 83-98 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-5 | -2 |
| Jul 22 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 97-101 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9-13 | 2-5 | +5 |
| Jul 14 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 87-90 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 | +2 |
| Jul 11 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 102-92 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-4 | +1 |
| Jul 9 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 80-88 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 | +7 |
| Jul 4 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 77-72 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-4 | +9 |
| Jun 28 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 123-124 | 46 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7-14 | 4-7 | -13 |
| Jun 26 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 94-124 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 | -21 |
| Jun 24 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 78-101 | 23 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-3 | -11 |
| Jun 17 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 94-89 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-4 | +12 |
| Jun 15 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 74-107 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-2 | -19 |
| Jun 13 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 84-83 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Jun 11 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 89-105 | 28 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-13 | 2-6 | -11 |
| Jun 7 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | L 72-89 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-2 | -14 |
| Jun 5 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 72-78 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | -15 |
| Jun 2 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 77-95 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-1 | -8 |
| May 30 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 100-84 | 28 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8-8 | 1-1 | +15 |
| May 29 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 66-86 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 | +2 |
| May 27 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 71-61 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 | +15 |
| May 25 | New York Liberty | Away | W 81-74 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 | -4 |
| May 23 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 99-80 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-8 | 2-3 | -1 |
| May 20 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 73-90 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 | -1 |
| May 18 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 83-82 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | -7 |
| May 14 | New York Liberty | Home | L 82-100 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-1 | -14 |
| May 12 | New York Liberty | Home | W 98-96 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | -11 |
| May 9 | Chicago Sky | Home | L 83-98 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 | -15 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-por-atl | Atlanta Dream | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 27.0 | 13.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 19.6 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 4.5: model 4.9 vs RotoWire 6.5 vs internal injury model 5.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade -17.9, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 55.0%, EV +0.182 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 1.3 vs RotoWire 1.4 vs internal injury model 1.4. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 44.3%, EV -0.079 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Megan DiLeo · POR | REB | 4.9 | 6.5 | 0.0 | -12.6 | -11.2 | -17.9 | -0.1 | 4.5+115 | over PORArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.4 | 55.0%Market 46.5% | +0.182u+18.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 4.5: model 4.9 vs RotoWire 6.5 vs internal injury model 5.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade -17.9, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 55.0%, EV +0.182 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Megan DiLeo · POR | 3PM | 1.3 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -12.6 | -11.2 | -17.9 | -0.1 | 1.5+108 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.2 | 44.3%Market 48.1% | -0.079u-7.9% model ROI | Draftkings | Market matches model | Projection context: model 1.3 vs RotoWire 1.4 vs internal injury model 1.4. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 44.3%, EV -0.079 units per unit risked. |