Atlanta Dream · 37 completed regular-season games · next model game against Portland Fire on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 37 games and 268 attempts. Last game: 20260824.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 24 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 78-71 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 | +9 |
| Aug 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 99-89 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 | +4 |
| Aug 20 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 124-88 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-3 | +38 |
| Aug 18 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 97-82 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 | +13 |
| Aug 16 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 91-95 | 33 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 | -23 |
| Aug 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 104-69 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 | +31 |
| Aug 10 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 107-95 | 29 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-4 | +20 |
| Aug 7 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 74-79 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Aug 5 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 96-82 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 | +21 |
| Aug 3 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 87-109 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 | -18 |
| Jul 31 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 98-89 | 25 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-5 | +6 |
| Jul 29 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 82-81 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | -11 |
| Jul 19 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 93-91 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 | +4 |
| Jul 17 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 111-92 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-8 | 4-4 | +5 |
| Jul 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 101-92 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | +11 |
| Jul 11 | Portland Fire | Home | L 92-102 | 36 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-5 | -2 |
| Jul 9 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 89-78 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 | +11 |
| Jul 4 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 83-88 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 |
| Jul 2 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 76-81 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 | +1 |
| Jun 26 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 75-78 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | -8 |
| Jun 24 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 66-77 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Jun 22 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 94-87 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 | +15 |
| Jun 20 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 113-96 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-3 | +26 |
| Jun 18 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 108-101 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 | +4 |
| Jun 14 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 102-77 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-4 | +11 |
| Jun 11 | New York Liberty | Home | L 90-104 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 | -18 |
| Jun 9 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 82-75 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-8 | +9 |
| Jun 6 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 109-77 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 | +24 |
| Jun 4 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 71-83 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | -14 |
| Jun 2 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 91-75 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | +13 |
| May 29 | Portland Fire | Away | W 86-66 | 36 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-9 | +19 |
| May 27 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 81-96 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-5 | -18 |
| May 24 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 82-80 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | -1 |
| May 22 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 86-69 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 | +13 |
| May 17 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 84-85 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 | +5 |
| May 12 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 77-72 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | +12 |
| May 9 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 91-90 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-5 | +11 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-por-atl | Portland Fire | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 29.0 | 9.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 15.5 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 9.5: model 9.6 vs RotoWire 9.8 vs internal injury model 9.7. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -0.5, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.3%, EV -0.032 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 1.2 vs RotoWire 1.1 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 41.6%, EV -0.076 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Naz Hillmon · ATL | PTS | 9.6 | 9.8 | +0.1 | +12.6 | +19.4 | +8.8 | -0.5 | 9.5-108 | over ATLArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.1 | 50.3%Market 51.9% | -0.032u-3.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 9.5: model 9.6 vs RotoWire 9.8 vs internal injury model 9.7. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -0.5, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.3%, EV -0.032 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Naz Hillmon · ATL | 3PM | 1.2 | 1.1 | +0.0 | +12.6 | +19.4 | +8.8 | -0.1 | 1.5+122 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.3 | 41.6%Market 45.0% | -0.076u-7.6% model ROI | Draftkings | Market matches model | Projection context: model 1.2 vs RotoWire 1.1 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 41.6%, EV -0.076 units per unit risked. |