Washington Mystics · 38 completed regular-season games · next model game against Los Angeles Sparks on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 38 games and 476 attempts. Last game: 20260827.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 27 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 80-73 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Aug 25 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 94-84 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 | +6 |
| Aug 23 | Portland Fire | Away | W 105-100 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11-18 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Aug 21 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 84-94 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-1 | -11 |
| Aug 19 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 93-82 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | +21 |
| Aug 15 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 80-70 | 31 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-1 | +6 |
| Aug 13 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 76-83 | 30 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12-20 | 1-2 | -4 |
| Aug 11 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 76-86 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-21 | 0-2 | -10 |
| Aug 9 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 95-75 | 26 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8-16 | 1-3 | +27 |
| Aug 7 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 79-74 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-1 | -9 |
| Aug 5 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 96-92 | 36 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9-15 | 1-2 | +7 |
| Jul 31 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 81-75 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10-18 | 1-2 | +10 |
| Jul 28 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 92-84 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7-16 | 0-0 | +13 |
| Jul 22 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | W 100-99 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10-18 | 0-0 | +6 |
| Jul 20 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | W 90-82 | 31 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 | +14 |
| Jul 18 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 69-74 | 31 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0 |
| Jul 16 | Portland Fire | Home | L 56-75 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6-15 | 0-2 | -14 |
| Jul 14 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 79-62 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-14 | 0-3 | +14 |
| Jul 12 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 84-79 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10-18 | 2-4 | +7 |
| Jul 6 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 49-62 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-1 | -3 |
| Jul 2 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 81-76 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9-14 | 2-2 | -3 |
| Jun 28 | Portland Fire | Home | W 124-123 | 47 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-3 | +5 |
| Jun 26 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 57-68 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 | -21 |
| Jun 24 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 76-78 | 26 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-15 | 0-1 | -3 |
| Jun 21 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 84-79 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 | -6 |
| Jun 19 | New York Liberty | Away | W 86-83 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-1 | +5 |
| Jun 14 | New York Liberty | Away | L 64-86 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Jun 12 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 86-85 | 32 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 | +7 |
| Jun 8 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 76-78 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-1 | -2 |
| Jun 6 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 77-109 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 | -29 |
| Jun 2 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 90-72 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-1 | +17 |
| May 29 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | L 87-92 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 | +2 |
| May 27 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 78-64 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-2 | +10 |
| May 24 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 85-97 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 | -10 |
| May 18 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 69-92 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | -15 |
| May 15 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 104-102 | 34 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 | +6 |
| May 10 | New York Liberty | Home | L 93-98 | 33 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-1 | +2 |
| May 8 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 68-65 | 28 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-1 | +13 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-wsh-la | Los Angeles Sparks | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 30.0 | 18.5 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 30.1 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 18.5: model 18.5 vs RotoWire 17.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.1, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV +0.010 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta +0.00.
Projection context: model 0.3 vs RotoWire 0.6 vs internal injury model 0.4. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Shakira Austin · WSH | PTS | 18.5 | 17.2 | 0.0 | +18.8 | -15.6 | +21.0 | +0.1 | 18.5+102 | over WSHArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.0 | 50.0%Market 49.5% | +0.010u+1.0% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Positive-EV over at captured price | Over 18.5: model 18.5 vs RotoWire 17.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.1, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV +0.010 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta +0.00. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Shakira Austin · WSH | 3PM | 0.3 | 0.6 | -0.0 | +18.8 | -15.6 | +21.0 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.3 vs RotoWire 0.6 vs internal injury model 0.4. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes. |