Connecticut Sun · 24 completed regular-season games · next model game against Indiana Fever on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 23 games and 181 attempts. Last game: 20260826.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 26 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 64-89 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 | -24 |
| Aug 25 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 87-81 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11-16 | 0-0 | +7 |
| Aug 13 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 69-104 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | -15 |
| Aug 7 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 75-72 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | +8 |
| Jul 19 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | L 63-72 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| Jul 17 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 96-83 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | +8 |
| Jul 14 | Portland Fire | Home | W 90-87 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9-13 | 0-1 | +8 |
| Jul 10 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 64-79 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-1 | -5 |
| Jul 8 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 80-86 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | -10 |
| Jul 6 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 90-89 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 | -12 |
| Jul 2 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 83-86 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | -7 |
| Jun 26 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 68-57 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | -4 |
| Jun 22 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 92-63 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-1 | +14 |
| Jun 19 | Toronto Tempo | Home | L 97-101 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Jun 17 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 81-88 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Jun 13 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 75-85 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 | -11 |
| Jun 10 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 102-106 | 30 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-9 | 1-1 | -3 |
| Jun 8 | New York Liberty | Home | L 80-89 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6-15 | 0-0 | -14 |
| May 27 | Portland Fire | Away | L 61-71 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -7 |
| May 25 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 70-97 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 | -17 |
| May 22 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 59-77 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 | -3 |
| May 20 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 80-78 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-2 | -2 |
| May 18 | Portland Fire | Away | L 82-83 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | -10 |
| May 15 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 94-101 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | -18 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-con-ind | Indiana Fever | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 30.2 | 17.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 26.0 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 13.5: model 14.6 vs RotoWire 15.7 vs internal injury model 17.9. shot zones +0.3, injury/rotation +1.7, 30.2 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 54.8%, EV +0.025 units per unit risked.
Over 5.5: model 5.6 vs RotoWire 7.4 vs internal injury model 7.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.6, rebound matchup grade -9.5, 30.2 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.9%, EV -0.110 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 0.1 vs RotoWire 0.5 vs internal injury model 0.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.2 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Aaliyah Edwards · CON | PTS | 14.6 | 15.7 | +0.3 | +15.8 | -36.7 | -9.5 | +1.7 | 13.5-115 | over CONArchived pre-tip evidence | 1.1 | 54.8%Market 53.5% | +0.025u+2.5% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 13.5: model 14.6 vs RotoWire 15.7 vs internal injury model 17.9. shot zones +0.3, injury/rotation +1.7, 30.2 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 54.8%, EV +0.025 units per unit risked. |
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Aaliyah Edwards · CON | REB | 5.6 | 7.4 | 0.0 | +15.8 | -36.7 | -9.5 | +0.6 | 5.5-134 | over CONArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.1 | 50.9%Market 57.3% | -0.110u-11.0% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 5.5: model 5.6 vs RotoWire 7.4 vs internal injury model 7.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.6, rebound matchup grade -9.5, 30.2 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.9%, EV -0.110 units per unit risked. |
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Aaliyah Edwards · CON | 3PM | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | +15.8 | -36.7 | -9.5 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.1 vs RotoWire 0.5 vs internal injury model 0.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.2 projected minutes. |