Portland Fire · 35 completed regular-season games · next model game against Atlanta Dream on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 34 games and 363 attempts. Last game: 20260825.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 25 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 78-96 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | -18 |
| Aug 23 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 100-105 | 30 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 8-20 | 2-5 | +5 |
| Aug 21 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 79-82 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 | +6 |
| Aug 16 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 88-85 | 28 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9-15 | 1-2 | +3 |
| Aug 14 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 84-82 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 | +1 |
| Aug 8 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 100-93 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +2 |
| Aug 6 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 97-83 | 30 | 27 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 | +14 |
| Aug 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | L 101-106 | 27 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-2 | +2 |
| Jul 31 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 98-112 | 31 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | -8 |
| Jul 28 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 83-98 | 22 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 | -10 |
| Jul 22 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 97-101 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0 |
| Jul 18 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 93-101 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9-17 | 1-5 | +2 |
| Jul 16 | Washington Mystics | Away | W 75-56 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-4 | +18 |
| Jul 14 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 87-90 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | +3 |
| Jul 11 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 102-92 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | -2 |
| Jul 9 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 80-88 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | +3 |
| Jul 4 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 77-72 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | +5 |
| Jun 28 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 123-124 | 48 | 32 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12-26 | 3-6 | -9 |
| Jun 26 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 94-124 | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-4 | -9 |
| Jun 24 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 78-101 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-1 | -19 |
| Jun 17 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 94-89 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-2 | +13 |
| Jun 15 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 74-107 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | -20 |
| Jun 13 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 84-83 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-3 | +2 |
| Jun 11 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 89-105 | 28 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-2 | -20 |
| Jun 7 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | L 72-89 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4-13 | 0-2 | -21 |
| Jun 5 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 72-78 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 | -19 |
| Jun 2 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 77-95 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | -3 |
| May 30 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 100-84 | 27 | 18 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 | +20 |
| May 29 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 66-86 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 | -11 |
| May 27 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 71-61 | 23 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-3 | -1 |
| May 25 | New York Liberty | Away | W 81-74 | 22 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-14 | 1-2 | +9 |
| May 23 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 99-80 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-0 | +15 |
| May 20 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 73-90 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | -10 |
| May 12 | New York Liberty | Home | W 98-96 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-1 | +14 |
| May 9 | Chicago Sky | Home | L 83-98 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-5 | -2 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-por-atl | Atlanta Dream | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 29.0 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 25.9 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 15.5: model 15.9 vs RotoWire 16.5 vs internal injury model 17.1. shot zones -0.4, injury/rotation +0.0, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.8%, EV +0.002 units per unit risked.
Over 1.5: model 2.1 vs RotoWire 3.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade -20.9, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 58.7%, EV -0.085 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 0.8 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 0.9. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 29.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Carla Leite · POR | PTS | 15.9 | 16.5 | -0.4 | -13.2 | -11.7 | -20.9 | 0.0 | 15.5-107 | over PORArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.4 | 51.8%Market 51.7% | +0.002u+0.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 15.5: model 15.9 vs RotoWire 16.5 vs internal injury model 17.1. shot zones -0.4, injury/rotation +0.0, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.8%, EV +0.002 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Carla Leite · POR | REB | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | -13.2 | -11.7 | -20.9 | 0.0 | 1.5-179 | over PORArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.6 | 58.7%Market 64.2% | -0.085u-8.5% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | High research signal | Over 1.5: model 2.1 vs RotoWire 3.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade -20.9, 29.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 58.7%, EV -0.085 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Carla Leite · POR | 3PM | 0.8 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -13.2 | -11.7 | -20.9 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.8 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 0.9. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 29.0 projected minutes. |