Connecticut Sun · 38 completed regular-season games · next model game against Indiana Fever on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 38 games and 322 attempts. Last game: 20260826.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 26 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 64-89 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-4 | -17 |
| Aug 25 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 87-81 | 27 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-5 | +5 |
| Aug 22 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | L 68-77 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | -10 |
| Aug 20 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 78-101 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | -11 |
| Aug 18 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 85-77 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-2 | +11 |
| Aug 15 | New York Liberty | Home | L 75-82 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3-13 | 2-6 | -4 |
| Aug 13 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 69-104 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | -14 |
| Aug 7 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 75-72 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 | +2 |
| Aug 2 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 63-83 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8-15 | 4-8 | -14 |
| Jul 30 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 88-94 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-6 | -9 |
| Jul 28 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 84-92 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0 |
| Jul 22 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 88-123 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-5 | -25 |
| Jul 19 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | L 63-72 | 31 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 | -5 |
| Jul 17 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 96-83 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 | +16 |
| Jul 14 | Portland Fire | Home | W 90-87 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 | -5 |
| Jul 10 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 64-79 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 | -1 |
| Jul 8 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 80-86 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 | -5 |
| Jul 6 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 90-89 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Jul 2 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 83-86 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 | +4 |
| Jun 26 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 68-57 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 | +10 |
| Jun 22 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 92-63 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 | +19 |
| Jun 19 | Toronto Tempo | Home | L 97-101 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 | -5 |
| Jun 17 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 81-88 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 | +1 |
| Jun 13 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 75-85 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 | -17 |
| Jun 10 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 102-106 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-4 | -2 |
| Jun 8 | New York Liberty | Home | L 80-89 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 | -12 |
| Jun 5 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 80-85 | 28 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-15 | 1-5 | -4 |
| Jun 2 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 75-91 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 | -8 |
| May 30 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 84-81 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 | +2 |
| May 27 | Portland Fire | Away | L 61-71 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | -9 |
| May 25 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 70-97 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | -15 |
| May 22 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 59-77 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | -6 |
| May 20 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 80-78 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | -8 |
| May 18 | Portland Fire | Away | L 82-83 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | +3 |
| May 15 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 94-101 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-4 | -6 |
| May 13 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 69-98 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-3 | -27 |
| May 10 | Seattle Storm | Home | L 82-89 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-4 | -10 |
| May 8 | New York Liberty | Away | L 75-106 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-16 | 1-6 | -15 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-con-ind | Indiana Fever | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 24.9 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 14.7 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 2.5: model 3.0 vs RotoWire 3.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, rebound matchup grade -13.9, 24.9 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 56.7%, EV -0.072 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 1.0 vs RotoWire 1.5 vs internal injury model 1.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 24.9 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 37.4%, EV -0.248 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Diamond Miller · CON | REB | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -30.4 | -13.9 | -0.2 | 2.5-157 | over CONArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.5 | 56.7%Market 61.1% | -0.072u-7.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Medium research signal | Over 2.5: model 3.0 vs RotoWire 3.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, rebound matchup grade -13.9, 24.9 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 56.7%, EV -0.072 units per unit risked. |
| — | CON @ INDAug 28, 2026 | Diamond Miller · CON | 3PM | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.1 | -1.7 | -30.4 | -13.9 | -0.1 | 1.5+101 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.5 | 37.4%Market 49.8% | -0.248u-24.8% model ROI | Draftkings | Market matches model | Projection context: model 1.0 vs RotoWire 1.5 vs internal injury model 1.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 24.9 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 37.4%, EV -0.248 units per unit risked. |