Atlanta Dream · 37 completed regular-season games · next model game against Portland Fire on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 37 games and 323 attempts. Last game: 20260824.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 24 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 78-71 | 35 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-3 | +4 |
| Aug 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 99-89 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-7 | +1 |
| Aug 20 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 124-88 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 | +37 |
| Aug 18 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 97-82 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-4 | +19 |
| Aug 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 104-69 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 | +39 |
| Aug 10 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 107-95 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 4-9 | +8 |
| Aug 7 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 74-79 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | -10 |
| Aug 5 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 96-82 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-7 | +10 |
| Aug 3 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 87-109 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 | -13 |
| Jul 31 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 98-89 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | +3 |
| Jul 29 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 82-81 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | +2 |
| Jul 19 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 93-91 | 34 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-3 | +1 |
| Jul 17 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 111-92 | 33 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 1-4 | +27 |
| Jul 13 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 101-92 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 | +11 |
| Jul 11 | Portland Fire | Home | L 92-102 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 | -8 |
| Jul 9 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 89-78 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 | +10 |
| Jul 4 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 83-88 | 35 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 | +1 |
| Jul 2 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 76-81 | 34 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-2 | +2 |
| Jun 27 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 90-105 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | -16 |
| Jun 26 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 75-78 | 35 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7-11 | 3-3 | -3 |
| Jun 24 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 66-77 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-4 | -6 |
| Jun 22 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 94-87 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 | +24 |
| Jun 20 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 113-96 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 | +25 |
| Jun 18 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 108-101 | 29 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 | +9 |
| Jun 14 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 102-77 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 | +30 |
| Jun 11 | New York Liberty | Home | L 90-104 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 | +1 |
| Jun 9 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 82-75 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 | +8 |
| Jun 6 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 109-77 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 | +19 |
| Jun 4 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 71-83 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-5 | -11 |
| Jun 2 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 91-75 | 36 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 | +17 |
| May 29 | Portland Fire | Away | W 86-66 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 | +25 |
| May 27 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 81-96 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 | -18 |
| May 24 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 82-80 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 | +12 |
| May 22 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 86-69 | 30 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 | +13 |
| May 17 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 84-85 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 | -20 |
| May 12 | Dallas Wings | Away | W 77-72 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8-15 | 3-7 | +3 |
| May 9 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 91-90 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | +2 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-por-atl | Portland Fire | Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT | starter | 30.0 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 6.9 | 0.9 | 21.7 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 10.5: model 10.7 vs RotoWire 11.5 vs internal injury model 11.3. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.1%, EV -0.108 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 3.5 vs RotoWire 4.3 vs internal injury model 3.6. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade +7.6, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV -0.024 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 0.9 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 1.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Jordin Canada · ATL | PTS | 10.7 | 11.5 | +0.1 | +2.9 | +21.6 | +7.6 | 0.0 | 10.5-134 | over ATLArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.2 | 51.1%Market 57.3% | -0.108u-10.8% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 10.5: model 10.7 vs RotoWire 11.5 vs internal injury model 11.3. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.1%, EV -0.108 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Jordin Canada · ATL | REB | 3.5 | 4.3 | 0.0 | +2.9 | +21.6 | +7.6 | -0.1 | 3.5-105 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.0 | 50.0%Market 51.2% | -0.024u-2.4% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Market matches model | Projection context: model 3.5 vs RotoWire 4.3 vs internal injury model 3.6. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade +7.6, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV -0.024 units per unit risked. |
| — | POR @ ATLAug 28, 2026 | Jordin Canada · ATL | 3PM | 0.9 | 1.0 | +0.0 | +2.9 | +21.6 | +7.6 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.9 vs RotoWire 1.0 vs internal injury model 1.0. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes. |