Research board/Players/Kelsey Mitchell

G · IND · 2026 season profile

Kelsey Mitchell

Indiana Fever · 39 completed regular-season games · next model game against Connecticut Sun on Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT.

39Games

39Starts

32.9MIN

24.8PTS

1.7REB

2.8AST

1.1STL

0.1BLK

1.8TO

51.0%FG%

45.5%3P%

64.1%TS%

Next-game projection

Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.

Open matchup

MIN33.0

PTS23.8

REB1.6

AST2.6

3PM2.5

PRA28.0

Form, last 15 games

Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.

MIN35.0

avg 32.9next 33.0

PTS30.0

avg 24.8next 23.8

REB2.0

avg 1.7next 1.6

AST4.0

avg 2.8next 2.6

3PM6.0

avg 3.0next 2.5

2026 shooting profile

Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.

Kelsey Mitchell shot chart

Makes and misses. 340 makes on 667 attempts, 51.0 percent across 39 games. Full season. Data from 05/09/2026 through 08/23/2026. Source: /Users/zsoskin/NCAA/data/wnba_zone_raw/shots_2026.csv.

Made Missed05/09/2026 to 08/23/2026

Shot type distribution

3PT jumpers38.5%45.5% FG
Layups37.5%60.4% FG
2PT jumpers23.5%45.2% FG
Dunks0.0%— FG
Putbacks and tips0.4%33.3% FG

Zone breakdown

Above the Break 3113/24146.9% FG · 36.1% of attempts
Restricted Area134/22360.1% FG · 33.4% of attempts
Mid-Range43/10441.3% FG · 15.6% of attempts
In The Paint (Non-RA)46/8355.4% FG · 12.4% of attempts
Left Corner 34/1136.4% FG · 1.7% of attempts
Right Corner 30/50.0% FG · 0.8% of attempts

Matchup-adjusted shot zones

The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.

Lower volumeHigher volume

Rim: 3.48 projected makes
Paint: 1.69 projected makes
Mid-range: 0.79 projected makes
Above break: 2.08 projected makes
Left corner: 0.07 projected makes
Right corner: 0.00 projected makes

Sample: 39 games and 667 attempts. Last game: 20260823.

Source unavailable

2026 game log

Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.

Showing 1-39 of 39

Kelsey Mitchell 2026 game log

Aug 23	Chicago Sky	Away	W 113-90	35	30	2	4	2	1	10-19	6-9	+28
Aug 22	New York Liberty	Away	L 102-109	33	25	0	4	1	0	9-15	3-6	-10
Aug 20	Dallas Wings	Away	L 85-91	35	37	1	5	1	0	9-18	4-7	+1
Aug 18	Toronto Tempo	Away	W 101-95	24	29	3	2	1	0	11-16	4-6	+20
Aug 16	Atlanta Dream	Away	W 95-91	36	20	1	1	1	0	9-22	2-4	+3
Aug 14	Dallas Wings	Home	W 98-87	36	23	2	2	0	0	9-21	1-7	+7
Aug 11	New York Liberty	Home	W 106-92	31	28	3	3	2	0	11-16	4-4	+15
Aug 8	Chicago Sky	Away	W 90-86	36	27	5	2	2	1	11-22	3-9	+12
Aug 6	Las Vegas Aces	Home	L 84-86	39	28	0	4	2	0	10-18	2-4	-8
Aug 2	Minnesota Lynx	Away	L 100-108	35	37	1	3	1	0	14-21	6-8	-6
Jul 31	Portland Fire	Away	W 112-98	36	26	0	2	0	0	9-21	4-12	+15
Jul 28	Seattle Storm	Away	W 105-95	35	28	2	2	1	0	9-18	4-7	+11
Jul 22	Connecticut Sun	Home	W 123-88	26	23	4	2	1	1	9-16	3-6	+27
Jul 18	New York Liberty	Home	W 108-88	30	33	0	1	1	0	10-14	4-6	+18
Jul 17	Seattle Storm	Home	W 110-107	34	30	1	0	0	0	13-25	3-8	+1
Jul 15	Golden State Valkyries	Home	L 75-88	35	20	1	4	1	0	7-16	3-5	-5
Jul 12	Las Vegas Aces	Away	W 109-75	30	27	3	3	2	0	8-16	3-8	+19
Jul 9	Phoenix Mercury	Away	W 92-89	35	29	2	8	3	1	10-22	3-6	+4
Jul 8	Los Angeles Sparks	Away	L 92-106	33	29	4	3	2	0	9-18	5-9	-4
Jul 5	Las Vegas Aces	Away	W 84-68	33	27	2	3	1	0	7-18	3-9	+18
Jun 27	Los Angeles Sparks	Home	W 111-87	26	26	3	2	0	0	9-13	4-6	+30
Jun 24	Phoenix Mercury	Home	L 109-111	38	30	0	6	2	0	11-16	7-9	-4
Jun 22	Phoenix Mercury	Home	W 86-77	32	22	1	1	1	0	8-20	3-10	+9
Jun 20	Atlanta Dream	Away	L 96-113	32	16	3	3	0	0	5-13	2-4	-18
Jun 18	Atlanta Dream	Home	L 101-108	34	26	1	1	1	0	10-15	3-7	0
Jun 16	Toronto Tempo	Home	W 113-91	32	27	1	2	0	0	9-11	3-4	+17
Jun 13	Connecticut Sun	Away	W 85-75	37	19	2	5	1	0	6-15	2-9	+11
Jun 11	Chicago Sky	Home	W 114-106	39	19	1	3	3	0	7-17	2-6	-2
Jun 8	Washington Mystics	Away	W 78-76	31	15	2	3	1	1	6-14	1-6	+5
Jun 6	New York Liberty	Away	L 75-83	32	21	7	2	0	0	7-21	2-8	-8
Jun 4	Atlanta Dream	Home	W 83-71	33	25	0	2	2	0	11-15	3-4	+14
May 30	Portland Fire	Away	L 84-100	33	17	1	4	2	0	4-9	1-2	-11
May 28	Golden State Valkyries	Away	L 88-90	30	14	1	3	0	0	5-13	2-5	-6
May 22	Golden State Valkyries	Home	W 90-82	31	19	0	3	0	0	4-10	0-3	+6
May 20	Portland Fire	Home	W 90-73	28	21	2	4	0	0	6-11	2-3	+25
May 17	Seattle Storm	Home	W 89-78	28	17	0	2	1	0	8-18	1-5	+21
May 15	Washington Mystics	Home	L 102-104	39	24	0	0	1	0	10-25	4-8	-10
May 13	Los Angeles Sparks	Away	W 87-78	27	23	0	0	1	0	9-17	3-9	+14
May 9	Dallas Wings	Home	L 104-107	33	30	3	4	0	0	11-22	2-9	-5

Upcoming projection log

Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.

Showing 1-1 of 1

Kelsey Mitchell upcoming projection log

2026-08-28-con-ind	Connecticut Sun	Fri, Aug 28, 4:30 PM PT	starter	33.0	23.8	1.6	2.6	2.5	28.0

Prediction evidence

Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.

PTS line · Underdog Fantasy25.5

Season20/39 overLast 107/10 overLast 53/5 over

REB line · Underdog Fantasy1.5

Season18/39 overLast 105/10 overLast 52/5 over

3PM line · Draftkings2.5

Season25/39 overLast 107/10 overLast 54/5 over

Showing 1-3 of 3

Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Kelsey Mitchell
IND PTS
CON @ IND
over IND25.5+108
Model
25.1
Edge
-0.4
Cover
48.1%
EV / 1u
+0.001u
Overall zone
-6.2
3PM zone
-18.6
Rebound grade
+2.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Underdog Fantasy
Context
Positive-EV over at captured price
Over 25.5: model 25.1 vs RotoWire 22.5 vs internal injury model 23.8. shot zones -0.7, injury/rotation -0.5, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 48.1%, EV +0.001 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.43.
Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Kelsey Mitchell
IND REB
CON @ IND
over IND1.5-167
Model
1.6
Edge
0.1
Cover
51.5%
EV / 1u
-0.176u
Overall zone
-6.2
3PM zone
-18.6
Rebound grade
+2.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Underdog Fantasy
Context
Low research signal
Over 1.5: model 1.6 vs RotoWire 2.4 vs internal injury model 1.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade +2.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.5%, EV -0.176 units per unit risked.
Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Kelsey Mitchell
IND 3PM
CON @ IND
No model lean2.5-165
Model
2.5
Edge
-0.0
Cover
49.1%
EV / 1u
-0.211u
Overall zone
-6.2
3PM zone
-18.6
Rebound grade
+2.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Draftkings
Context
Market matches model
Projection context: model 2.5 vs RotoWire 2.6 vs internal injury model 2.5. shot zones -0.2, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.1%, EV -0.211 units per unit risked.

Kelsey Mitchell prediction evidence
																		Short writeup
—	CON @ INDAug 28, 2026	Kelsey Mitchell · IND	PTS	25.1	22.5	-0.7	-6.2	-18.6	+2.1	-0.5	25.5+108	over INDArchived pre-tip evidence	-0.4	48.1%Market 48.1%	+0.001u+0.1% model ROI	Underdog Fantasy	Positive-EV over at captured price	Over 25.5: model 25.1 vs RotoWire 22.5 vs internal injury model 23.8. shot zones -0.7, injury/rotation -0.5, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 48.1%, EV +0.001 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.43.
—	CON @ INDAug 28, 2026	Kelsey Mitchell · IND	REB	1.6	2.4	0.0	-6.2	-18.6	+2.1	-0.1	1.5-167	over INDArchived pre-tip evidence	0.1	51.5%Market 62.5%	-0.176u-17.6% model ROI	Underdog Fantasy	Low research signal	Over 1.5: model 1.6 vs RotoWire 2.4 vs internal injury model 1.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade +2.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.5%, EV -0.176 units per unit risked.
—	CON @ INDAug 28, 2026	Kelsey Mitchell · IND	3PM	2.5	2.6	-0.2	-6.2	-18.6	+2.1	-0.1	2.5-165	No leanArchived pre-tip evidence	-0.0	49.1%Market 62.3%	-0.211u-21.1% model ROI	Draftkings	Market matches model	Projection context: model 2.5 vs RotoWire 2.6 vs internal injury model 2.5. shot zones -0.2, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.1%, EV -0.211 units per unit risked.