Toronto Tempo · 37 completed regular-season games · next model game against Las Vegas Aces on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 36 games and 164 attempts. Last game: 20260826.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 26 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 78-90 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 | -3 |
| Aug 23 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 78-88 | 30 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6-13 | 4-10 | -10 |
| Aug 21 | Portland Fire | Home | W 82-79 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | +1 |
| Aug 19 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 82-93 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 | -3 |
| Aug 18 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 95-101 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 | +2 |
| Aug 12 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 88-94 | 22 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-8 | +3 |
| Aug 10 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 95-107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 |
| Aug 6 | Portland Fire | Away | L 83-97 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | +2 |
| Aug 2 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 79-96 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 | -19 |
| Jul 30 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 72-104 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 | -14 |
| Jul 28 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 93-100 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -2 |
| Jul 20 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 83-109 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 | -22 |
| Jul 17 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 92-111 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | -8 |
| Jul 14 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 62-79 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Jul 12 | New York Liberty | Home | W 93-91 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Jul 10 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 95-108 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-5 | -5 |
| Jul 8 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 75-83 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 | -11 |
| Jul 5 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 76-89 | 21 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 | +3 |
| Jun 27 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 80-89 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 | -18 |
| Jun 25 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 125-97 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 | -10 |
| Jun 22 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 87-94 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | +22 |
| Jun 19 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 101-97 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 | -15 |
| Jun 16 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 91-113 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 | -16 |
| Jun 14 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 77-102 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | -8 |
| Jun 12 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 85-86 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -3 |
| Jun 10 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 106-102 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Jun 7 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 85-68 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -1 |
| Jun 3 | New York Liberty | Away | L 82-97 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | +1 |
| May 30 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 93-72 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | -4 |
| May 27 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 111-104 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | +2 |
| May 23 | Portland Fire | Home | L 80-99 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-5 | -3 |
| May 21 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 72-100 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 6-11 | -15 |
| May 19 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 98-90 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | +4 |
| May 17 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 106-96 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 | +15 |
| May 15 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | L 95-99 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | +8 |
| May 13 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 86-73 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | -1 |
| May 8 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 65-68 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | +4 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-tor-lv | Las Vegas Aces | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 27.0 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 14.4 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 9.5: model 9.7 vs RotoWire 11.8 vs internal injury model 10.2. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.0%, EV +0.009 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 2.2 vs RotoWire 2.8 vs internal injury model 2.3. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade -0.8, 27.0 projected minutes.
Over 1.5: model 2.0 vs RotoWire 2.3 vs internal injury model 2.1. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 60.9%, EV -0.017 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Kia Nurse · TOR | PTS | 9.7 | 11.8 | +0.1 | +3.7 | +3.9 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 9.5-102 | over TORArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.2 | 51.0%Market 50.5% | +0.009u+0.9% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 9.5: model 9.7 vs RotoWire 11.8 vs internal injury model 10.2. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.0%, EV +0.009 units per unit risked. |
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Kia Nurse · TOR | REB | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | +3.7 | +3.9 | -0.8 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 2.2 vs RotoWire 2.8 vs internal injury model 2.3. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, rebound matchup grade -0.8, 27.0 projected minutes. |
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Kia Nurse · TOR | 3PM | 2.0 | 2.3 | +0.0 | +3.7 | +3.9 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 1.5-163 | over TORArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.5 | 60.9%Market 62.0% | -0.017u-1.7% model ROI | Draftkings | High research signal | Over 1.5: model 2.0 vs RotoWire 2.3 vs internal injury model 2.1. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 27.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 60.9%, EV -0.017 units per unit risked. |