Washington Mystics · 36 completed regular-season games · next model game against Los Angeles Sparks on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 36 games and 418 attempts. Last game: 20260827.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 27 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 80-73 | 30 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-17 | 0-0 | +10 |
| Aug 25 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 94-84 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-2 | +5 |
| Aug 23 | Portland Fire | Away | W 105-100 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | -11 |
| Aug 21 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 84-94 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7-15 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Aug 19 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 93-82 | 29 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-0 | +13 |
| Aug 15 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 80-70 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Aug 13 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 76-83 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | -8 |
| Aug 11 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | L 76-86 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | +2 |
| Aug 9 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 95-75 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-0 | +17 |
| Aug 7 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 79-74 | 32 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 | +11 |
| Aug 5 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 96-92 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | +6 |
| Jul 31 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 81-75 | 27 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7-17 | 0-1 | +4 |
| Jul 28 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 92-84 | 29 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8-22 | 1-2 | +8 |
| Jul 22 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | W 100-99 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-1 | -5 |
| Jul 20 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | W 90-82 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8-12 | 1-2 | +15 |
| Jul 18 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 69-74 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Jul 16 | Portland Fire | Home | L 56-75 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-2 | -21 |
| Jul 14 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 79-62 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-14 | 0-1 | +16 |
| Jul 12 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 84-79 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-1 | -5 |
| Jul 6 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 49-62 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-1 | +1 |
| Jul 2 | Atlanta Dream | Home | W 81-76 | 30 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 | +1 |
| Jun 28 | Portland Fire | Home | W 124-123 | 48 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11-25 | 1-2 | +19 |
| Jun 26 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 57-68 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Jun 24 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 76-78 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 | -11 |
| Jun 21 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 84-79 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Jun 19 | New York Liberty | Away | W 86-83 | 28 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8-14 | 0-1 | +3 |
| Jun 8 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 76-78 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -9 |
| Jun 6 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 77-109 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8-15 | 1-3 | -20 |
| Jun 2 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 90-72 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | +14 |
| May 29 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | L 87-92 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 | +2 |
| May 27 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 78-64 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 | +15 |
| May 24 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 85-97 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-1 | -10 |
| May 18 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 69-92 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 | -12 |
| May 15 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 104-102 | 36 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11-17 | 1-1 | +10 |
| May 10 | New York Liberty | Home | L 93-98 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-1 | -8 |
| May 8 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 68-65 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 | +13 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-wsh-la | Los Angeles Sparks | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 30.0 | 17.9 | 9.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 29.4 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 15.5: model 16.1 vs RotoWire 16.2 vs internal injury model 17.9. shot zones +0.4, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 52.9%, EV -0.012 units per unit risked.
Over 9.5: model 9.9 vs RotoWire 10.9. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +23.1, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 54.3%, EV -0.020 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 0.2 vs RotoWire 0.6 vs internal injury model 0.3. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Kiki Iriafen · WSH | PTS | 16.1 | 16.2 | +0.4 | +27.6 | -12.1 | +23.1 | 0.0 | 15.5-115 | over WSHArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.6 | 52.9%Market 53.5% | -0.012u-1.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 15.5: model 16.1 vs RotoWire 16.2 vs internal injury model 17.9. shot zones +0.4, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 52.9%, EV -0.012 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Kiki Iriafen · WSH | REB | 9.9 | 10.9 | 0.0 | +27.6 | -12.1 | +23.1 | 0.0 | 9.5-124 | over WSHArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.4 | 54.3%Market 55.4% | -0.020u-2.0% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 9.5: model 9.9 vs RotoWire 10.9. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +23.1, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 54.3%, EV -0.020 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Kiki Iriafen · WSH | 3PM | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.0 | +27.6 | -12.1 | +23.1 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.2 vs RotoWire 0.6 vs internal injury model 0.3. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes. |