Toronto Tempo · 21 completed regular-season games · next model game against Las Vegas Aces on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 20 games and 92 attempts. Last game: 20260826.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 26 | Seattle Storm | Away | L 78-90 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | -7 |
| Aug 23 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 78-88 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 | -17 |
| Aug 21 | Portland Fire | Home | W 82-79 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Aug 19 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 82-93 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 | +7 |
| Aug 18 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 95-101 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-6 | 3-3 | -3 |
| Aug 12 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 88-94 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | -12 |
| Aug 10 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 95-107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Aug 6 | Portland Fire | Away | L 83-97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 |
| Aug 2 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 79-96 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | -5 |
| Jul 30 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 72-104 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Jul 28 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 93-100 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0 |
| Jul 20 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 83-109 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | -11 |
| Jul 17 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 92-111 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | -6 |
| Jun 27 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 80-89 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Jun 25 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | W 125-97 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | +15 |
| Jun 22 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 87-94 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 | -7 |
| Jun 19 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 101-97 | 32 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8-9 | 2-2 | +8 |
| Jun 16 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 91-113 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | -16 |
| Jun 14 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 77-102 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Jun 12 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 85-86 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | -6 |
| May 8 | Washington Mystics | Home | L 65-68 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-tor-lv | Las Vegas Aces | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 24.0 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 13.5 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Projection context: model 8.3 vs RotoWire 9.0 vs internal injury model 7.9. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -1.4, 24.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.0%, EV -0.072 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 4.5 vs RotoWire 5.3. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.8, rebound matchup grade -0.8, 24.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV -0.106 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 0.5 vs RotoWire 0.7 vs internal injury model 0.6. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, 24.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Temi Fagbenle · TOR | PTS | 8.3 | 9.0 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -0.8 | -1.4 | 8.5-112 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.2 | 49.0%Market 52.8% | -0.072u-7.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Market matches model | Projection context: model 8.3 vs RotoWire 9.0 vs internal injury model 7.9. shot zones +0.1, injury/rotation -1.4, 24.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.0%, EV -0.072 units per unit risked. |
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Temi Fagbenle · TOR | REB | 4.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 4.5-127 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.0 | 50.0%Market 55.9% | -0.106u-10.6% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Market matches model | Projection context: model 4.5 vs RotoWire 5.3. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.8, rebound matchup grade -0.8, 24.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.0%, EV -0.106 units per unit risked. |
| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Temi Fagbenle · TOR | 3PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +0.0 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -0.8 | -0.2 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 0.5 vs RotoWire 0.7 vs internal injury model 0.6. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, 24.0 projected minutes. |