Los Angeles Sparks · 36 completed regular-season games · next model game against Washington Mystics on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 36 games and 297 attempts. Last game: 20260824.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 24 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 71-78 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 | +7 |
| Aug 22 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 77-68 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | +2 |
| Aug 20 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 88-124 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 | -12 |
| Aug 18 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 77-85 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 | -14 |
| Aug 15 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 70-80 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-7 | +1 |
| Aug 13 | New York Liberty | Away | L 81-85 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 | -20 |
| Aug 11 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 87-94 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 | -13 |
| Aug 9 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 78-84 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 | -3 |
| Aug 6 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 89-82 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 |
| Aug 5 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 88-95 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-7 | +5 |
| Aug 2 | Portland Fire | Away | W 106-101 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 4-7 | +9 |
| Jul 28 | New York Liberty | Home | L 109-113 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6-8 | 2-4 | -4 |
| Jul 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 82-86 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-6 | +5 |
| Jul 19 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 82-90 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0 |
| Jul 17 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 82-96 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-6 | -1 |
| Jul 15 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 87-96 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-7 | -2 |
| Jul 13 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 92-101 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-3 | -10 |
| Jul 10 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 102-87 | 29 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7-13 | 2-5 | +24 |
| Jul 8 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 106-92 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 | +7 |
| Jul 6 | Seattle Storm | Home | L 64-82 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 | -17 |
| Jun 27 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 87-111 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-2 | -12 |
| Jun 25 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 97-125 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | -21 |
| Jun 21 | New York Liberty | Home | W 98-97 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 | +7 |
| Jun 17 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 83-99 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 | -12 |
| Jun 15 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 58-78 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-7 | -11 |
| Jun 13 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 111-102 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 | +7 |
| Jun 10 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 88-83 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | +4 |
| Jun 7 | Portland Fire | Home | W 89-72 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 | +8 |
| Jun 5 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 96-104 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6-12 | 4-7 | -1 |
| Jun 2 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 69-79 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2-13 | 1-6 | -4 |
| May 30 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 81-84 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-4 | +5 |
| May 29 | Washington Mystics | Away | W 92-87 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | -2 |
| May 23 | Las Vegas Aces | Away | W 101-95 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 | -5 |
| May 21 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 97-88 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 | +2 |
| May 13 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 78-87 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | -14 |
| May 10 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 78-105 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-6 | -6 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-wsh-la | Washington Mystics | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 26.0 | 8.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 13.9 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 7.5: model 7.8 vs RotoWire 8.4 vs internal injury model 8.6. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.7, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.5%, EV -0.017 units per unit risked.
Over 2.5: model 2.6 vs RotoWire 3.3 vs internal injury model 2.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.3, rebound matchup grade -39.4, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.4%, EV -0.040 units per unit risked.
Over 1.5: model 1.1 vs RotoWire 1.2 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 39.7%, EV +0.060 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.40.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Ariel Atkins · LA | PTS | 7.8 | 8.4 | -0.1 | +8.4 | -2.2 | -39.4 | -0.7 | 7.5-110 | over LAArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.3 | 51.5%Market 52.4% | -0.017u-1.7% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 7.5: model 7.8 vs RotoWire 8.4 vs internal injury model 8.6. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.7, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.5%, EV -0.017 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Ariel Atkins · LA | REB | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.0 | +8.4 | -2.2 | -39.4 | -0.3 | 2.5-115 | over LAArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.1 | 51.4%Market 53.5% | -0.040u-4.0% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 2.5: model 2.6 vs RotoWire 3.3 vs internal injury model 2.7. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.3, rebound matchup grade -39.4, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 51.4%, EV -0.040 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Ariel Atkins · LA | 3PM | 1.1 | 1.2 | -0.0 | +8.4 | -2.2 | -39.4 | -0.2 | 1.5+167 | over LAArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.4 | 39.7%Market 37.5% | +0.060u+6.0% model ROI | Draftkings | Positive-EV over at captured price | Over 1.5: model 1.1 vs RotoWire 1.2 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones -0.0, injury/rotation -0.2, 26.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 39.7%, EV +0.060 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.40. |