Research board/Players/Michaela Onyenwere

F · WSH · 2026 season profile

Michaela Onyenwere

Washington Mystics · 35 completed regular-season games · next model game against Los Angeles Sparks on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.

35Games

35Starts

25.3MIN

9.0PTS

2.8REB

1.7AST

0.5STL

0.2BLK

1.6TO

44.5%FG%

40.6%3P%

59.0%TS%

Next-game projection

Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.

Open matchup

MIN23.0

PTS8.3

REB2.4

AST1.4

3PM1.2

PRA12.1

Form, last 15 games

Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.

MIN16.0

avg 25.3next 23.0

PTS1.0

avg 9.0next 8.3

REB0.0

avg 2.8next 2.4

AST0.0

avg 1.7next 1.4

3PM0.0

avg 1.4next 1.2

2026 shooting profile

Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.

Michaela Onyenwere shot chart

Makes and misses. 106 makes on 238 attempts, 44.5 percent across 35 games. Full season. Data from 05/24/2026 through 08/27/2026. Source: /Users/zsoskin/NCAA/data/wnba_zone_raw/shots_2026.csv.

Made Missed05/24/2026 to 08/27/2026

Shot type distribution

3PT jumpers51.7%40.6% FG
Layups28.1%55.2% FG
2PT jumpers16.4%30.8% FG
Dunks0.0%— FG
Putbacks and tips3.8%77.8% FG

Zone breakdown

Above the Break 333/8240.2% FG · 34.4% of attempts
Restricted Area39/6560.0% FG · 27.3% of attempts
In The Paint (Non-RA)17/3943.6% FG · 16.4% of attempts
Left Corner 312/2842.9% FG · 11.8% of attempts
Right Corner 35/1338.5% FG · 5.5% of attempts
Mid-Range0/110.0% FG · 4.6% of attempts

Matchup-adjusted shot zones

The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.

Lower volumeHigher volume

Rim: 1.48 projected makes
Paint: 0.40 projected makes
Mid-range: 0.00 projected makes
Above break: 0.66 projected makes
Left corner: 0.32 projected makes
Right corner: 0.15 projected makes

Sample: 35 games and 238 attempts. Last game: 20260827.

Source unavailable

2026 game log

Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.

Showing 1-35 of 35

Michaela Onyenwere 2026 game log

Aug 27	Phoenix Mercury	Away	W 80-73	16	1	0	0	0	0	0-2	0-2	-5
Aug 25	Phoenix Mercury	Away	W 94-84	19	10	3	1	0	1	4-4	2-2	+15
Aug 23	Portland Fire	Away	W 105-100	24	8	1	3	0	0	2-6	2-4	-13
Aug 21	Minnesota Lynx	Home	L 84-94	26	14	0	0	0	0	6-10	2-6	-5
Aug 19	Toronto Tempo	Home	W 93-82	27	14	1	4	1	1	5-9	4-8	+13
Aug 15	Los Angeles Sparks	Home	W 80-70	15	2	1	2	1	0	1-5	0-2	-9
Aug 13	Las Vegas Aces	Away	L 76-83	23	5	5	3	1	0	2-6	1-3	-9
Aug 11	Las Vegas Aces	Away	L 76-86	25	2	3	2	1	0	0-3	0-3	-14
Aug 9	Phoenix Mercury	Home	W 95-75	25	13	2	1	0	1	5-8	3-6	+28
Aug 7	Atlanta Dream	Home	W 79-74	21	0	3	0	0	0	0-6	0-3	-4
Aug 5	Dallas Wings	Home	W 96-92	19	10	2	1	1	0	4-8	2-4	+21
Jul 31	Dallas Wings	Home	W 81-75	30	6	4	2	0	0	2-5	1-4	+13
Jul 28	Connecticut Sun	Home	W 92-84	31	6	7	4	1	0	2-4	1-2	+8
Jul 22	Las Vegas Aces	Home	W 100-99	30	10	1	3	1	0	2-4	2-2	-2
Jul 20	Golden State Valkyries	Away	W 90-82	31	12	0	1	1	0	4-10	3-7	+14
Jul 18	Golden State Valkyries	Away	L 69-74	34	9	3	5	0	0	3-7	3-6	-1
Jul 16	Portland Fire	Home	L 56-75	26	5	6	1	1	0	2-10	1-4	-14
Jul 14	Toronto Tempo	Away	W 79-62	23	15	5	3	0	0	5-9	2-4	+13
Jul 12	Seattle Storm	Home	W 84-79	24	0	2	2	0	1	0-3	0-1	+10
Jul 6	Golden State Valkyries	Home	L 49-62	28	2	3	1	0	0	1-6	0-5	-16
Jul 2	Atlanta Dream	Home	W 81-76	24	4	3	3	0	0	2-6	0-0	-6
Jun 28	Portland Fire	Home	W 124-123	49	30	5	5	1	1	9-16	6-9	+10
Jun 26	Connecticut Sun	Away	L 57-68	28	4	2	1	0	0	1-5	0-2	-17
Jun 24	Minnesota Lynx	Home	L 76-78	23	2	1	1	1	0	1-5	0-3	+8
Jun 21	Minnesota Lynx	Away	W 84-79	23	5	3	1	0	0	1-5	0-1	-3
Jun 19	New York Liberty	Away	W 86-83	28	11	2	0	0	0	3-5	0-1	+3
Jun 17	Connecticut Sun	Away	W 88-81	32	22	3	0	1	0	8-12	4-4	+11
Jun 14	New York Liberty	Away	L 64-86	21	17	4	1	0	1	7-10	2-2	+4
Jun 12	Toronto Tempo	Home	W 86-85	29	17	8	1	1	0	7-15	1-3	-7
Jun 8	Indiana Fever	Home	L 76-78	24	17	2	1	1	0	4-7	3-4	+6
Jun 6	Atlanta Dream	Away	L 77-109	21	4	0	0	0	0	1-3	0-2	-17
Jun 2	Chicago Sky	Home	W 90-72	22	13	7	2	1	0	5-6	1-2	+25
May 29	Los Angeles Sparks	Home	L 87-92	24	4	3	3	0	0	1-5	1-4	+2
May 27	Seattle Storm	Away	W 78-64	22	14	2	2	0	0	5-10	3-7	+2
May 24	Seattle Storm	Away	L 85-97	17	6	0	0	1	0	1-3	0-1	+6

Upcoming projection log

Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.

Showing 1-1 of 1

Michaela Onyenwere upcoming projection log

2026-08-28-wsh-la	Los Angeles Sparks	Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT	starter	23.0	8.3	2.4	1.4	1.2	12.1

Prediction evidence

Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.

PTS line · Underdog Fantasy8.5

Season17/35 overLast 104/10 overLast 53/5 over

REB line · Underdog Fantasy2.5

Season18/35 overLast 104/10 overLast 51/5 over

3PM line · Draftkings1.5

Season15/35 overLast 105/10 overLast 54/5 over

Showing 1-3 of 3

Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Michaela Onyenwere
WSH PTS
WSH @ LA
No model lean8.5-104
Model
8.4
Edge
-0.1
Cover
49.7%
EV / 1u
-0.025u
Overall zone
+8.3
3PM zone
-10.0
Rebound grade
+14.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Underdog Fantasy
Context
Market matches model
Projection context: model 8.4 vs RotoWire 8.8 vs internal injury model 8.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation +0.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.7%, EV -0.025 units per unit risked.
Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Michaela Onyenwere
WSH REB
WSH @ LA
over WSH2.5+109
Model
2.4
Edge
-0.1
Cover
48.6%
EV / 1u
+0.015u
Overall zone
+8.3
3PM zone
-10.0
Rebound grade
+14.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Underdog Fantasy
Context
Positive-EV over at captured price
Over 2.5: model 2.4 vs RotoWire 3.4. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +14.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 48.6%, EV +0.015 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.10.
Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
Michaela Onyenwere
WSH 3PM
WSH @ LA
No model lean1.5+100
Model
1.2
Edge
-0.3
Cover
42.2%
EV / 1u
-0.157u
Overall zone
+8.3
3PM zone
-10.0
Rebound grade
+14.1
Evidence and notes
Source
Draftkings
Context
Market matches model
Projection context: model 1.2 vs RotoWire 1.4 vs internal injury model 1.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 42.2%, EV -0.157 units per unit risked.

Michaela Onyenwere prediction evidence
																		Short writeup
—	WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026	Michaela Onyenwere · WSH	PTS	8.4	8.8	-0.1	+8.3	-10.0	+14.1	+0.1	8.5-104	No leanArchived pre-tip evidence	-0.1	49.7%Market 51.0%	-0.025u-2.5% model ROI	Underdog Fantasy	Market matches model	Projection context: model 8.4 vs RotoWire 8.8 vs internal injury model 8.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation +0.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 49.7%, EV -0.025 units per unit risked.
—	WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026	Michaela Onyenwere · WSH	REB	2.4	3.4	0.0	+8.3	-10.0	+14.1	0.0	2.5+109	over WSHArchived pre-tip evidence	-0.1	48.6%Market 47.8%	+0.015u+1.5% model ROI	Underdog Fantasy	Positive-EV over at captured price	Over 2.5: model 2.4 vs RotoWire 3.4. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade +14.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 48.6%, EV +0.015 units per unit risked, price-supported over despite model-line delta -0.10.
—	WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026	Michaela Onyenwere · WSH	3PM	1.2	1.4	-0.1	+8.3	-10.0	+14.1	-0.1	1.5+100	No leanArchived pre-tip evidence	-0.3	42.2%Market 50.0%	-0.157u-15.7% model ROI	Draftkings	Market matches model	Projection context: model 1.2 vs RotoWire 1.4 vs internal injury model 1.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 23.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 42.2%, EV -0.157 units per unit risked.