Los Angeles Sparks · 37 completed regular-season games · next model game against Washington Mystics on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 37 games and 479 attempts. Last game: 20260824.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 24 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 71-78 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-19 | 0-2 | +3 |
| Aug 22 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 77-68 | 33 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | +5 |
| Aug 20 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 88-124 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | -25 |
| Aug 18 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 77-85 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8-15 | 0-3 | -9 |
| Aug 15 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 70-80 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-4 | -5 |
| Aug 13 | New York Liberty | Away | L 81-85 | 31 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-2 | +2 |
| Aug 11 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 87-94 | 33 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-4 | -10 |
| Aug 9 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | L 78-84 | 32 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 0 |
| Aug 6 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | W 89-82 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-4 | -1 |
| Aug 5 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 88-95 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-1 | -1 |
| Aug 2 | Portland Fire | Away | W 106-101 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8-18 | 3-7 | +8 |
| Jul 28 | New York Liberty | Home | L 109-113 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 9-12 | 3-5 | +4 |
| Jul 22 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 82-86 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-1 | -4 |
| Jul 19 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 82-90 | 33 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-3 | +3 |
| Jul 17 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 82-96 | 31 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8-15 | 2-5 | -17 |
| Jul 15 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 87-96 | 33 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10-16 | 2-4 | -13 |
| Jul 13 | Atlanta Dream | Away | L 92-101 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7-13 | 3-5 | -14 |
| Jul 10 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 102-87 | 33 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9-16 | 3-7 | +12 |
| Jul 8 | Indiana Fever | Home | W 106-92 | 31 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9-19 | 2-4 | +5 |
| Jul 6 | Seattle Storm | Home | L 64-82 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-5 | -20 |
| Jun 27 | Indiana Fever | Away | L 87-111 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-3 | -13 |
| Jun 25 | Toronto Tempo | Away | L 97-125 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-4 | -28 |
| Jun 21 | New York Liberty | Home | W 98-97 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11-18 | 2-4 | -2 |
| Jun 17 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 83-99 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-4 | -13 |
| Jun 15 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | L 58-78 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-2 | -22 |
| Jun 13 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 111-102 | 36 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-5 | +12 |
| Jun 10 | Seattle Storm | Away | W 88-83 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9-18 | 1-5 | -7 |
| Jun 7 | Portland Fire | Home | W 89-72 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-6 | +24 |
| Jun 5 | Dallas Wings | Home | L 96-104 | 35 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-2 | -8 |
| Jun 2 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 69-79 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-1 | -2 |
| May 30 | Connecticut Sun | Away | L 81-84 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 | -13 |
| May 29 | Washington Mystics | Away | W 92-87 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8-17 | 1-3 | +4 |
| May 21 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 97-88 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-2 | +6 |
| May 17 | Toronto Tempo | Home | L 96-106 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-3 | -10 |
| May 15 | Toronto Tempo | Home | W 99-95 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8-11 | 1-2 | +14 |
| May 13 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 78-87 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 | -10 |
| May 10 | Las Vegas Aces | Home | L 78-105 | 33 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7-15 | 3-5 | -15 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-wsh-la | Washington Mystics | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 30.0 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 27.2 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Over 15.5: model 15.6 vs RotoWire 15.7 vs internal injury model 16.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.6%, EV +0.012 units per unit risked.
Over 7.5: model 8.4 vs RotoWire 10.1 vs internal injury model 8.5. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade -27.5, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 59.8%, EV +0.162 units per unit risked.
Projection context: model 1.1 vs RotoWire 1.2 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Nneka Ogwumike · LA | PTS | 15.6 | 15.7 | -0.1 | +6.3 | -2.5 | -27.5 | 0.0 | 15.5+100 | over LAArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.1 | 50.6%Market 50.0% | +0.012u+1.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 15.5: model 15.6 vs RotoWire 15.7 vs internal injury model 16.1. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation +0.0, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 50.6%, EV +0.012 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Nneka Ogwumike · LA | REB | 8.4 | 10.1 | 0.0 | +6.3 | -2.5 | -27.5 | 0.0 | 7.5-106 | over LAArchived pre-tip evidence | 0.9 | 59.8%Market 51.5% | +0.162u+16.2% model ROI | Underdog Fantasy | Low research signal | Over 7.5: model 8.4 vs RotoWire 10.1 vs internal injury model 8.5. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation +0.0, rebound matchup grade -27.5, 30.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 59.8%, EV +0.162 units per unit risked. |
| — | WSH @ LAAug 28, 2026 | Nneka Ogwumike · LA | 3PM | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | +6.3 | -2.5 | -27.5 | -0.1 | Not posted | Projection onlyArchived pre-tip evidence | — | — | —Captured price needed | Waiting | Projection only | Projection context: model 1.1 vs RotoWire 1.2 vs internal injury model 1.2. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 30.0 projected minutes. |