Research board/Players/A'ja Wilson

C · LV · 2026 season profile

A'ja Wilson

Las Vegas Aces · 36 completed regular-season games · next model game against Toronto Tempo on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.

36Games

36Starts

32.1MIN

26.0PTS

9.5REB

3.2AST

1.4STL

2.0BLK

2.5TO

52.1%FG%

40.7%3P%

61.9%TS%

Next-game projection

Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.

Open matchup

MIN33.0

PTS25.3

REB9.0

AST2.9

3PM0.8

PRA37.2

Form, last 15 games

Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.

MIN30.0

avg 32.1next 33.0

PTS27.0

avg 26.0next 25.3

REB7.0

avg 9.5next 9.0

AST7.0

avg 3.2next 2.9

3PM1.0

avg 1.0next 0.8

2026 shooting profile

Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.

A'ja Wilson shot chart

Makes and misses. 329 makes on 631 attempts, 52.1 percent across 36 games. Full season. Data from 05/09/2026 through 08/23/2026. Source: /Users/zsoskin/NCAA/data/wnba_zone_raw/shots_2026.csv.

Made Missed05/09/2026 to 08/23/2026

Shot type distribution

3PT jumpers13.6%40.7% FG
Layups27.7%65.1% FG
2PT jumpers55.3%47.6% FG
Dunks0.0%— FG
Putbacks and tips3.3%66.7% FG

Zone breakdown

In The Paint (Non-RA)113/22350.7% FG · 35.3% of attempts
Mid-Range74/17542.3% FG · 27.7% of attempts
Restricted Area107/14772.8% FG · 23.3% of attempts
Above the Break 332/8139.5% FG · 12.8% of attempts
Right Corner 32/366.7% FG · 0.5% of attempts
Left Corner 31/250.0% FG · 0.3% of attempts

Matchup-adjusted shot zones

The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.

Lower volumeHigher volume

Rim: 3.98 projected makes
Paint: 2.10 projected makes
Mid-range: 1.79 projected makes
Above break: 0.80 projected makes
Left corner: 0.02 projected makes
Right corner: 0.07 projected makes

Sample: 36 games and 631 attempts. Last game: 20260823.

Source unavailable

2026 game log

Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.

Showing 1-36 of 36

A'ja Wilson 2026 game log

Aug 23	Toronto Tempo	Away	W 88-78	30	27	7	7	2	1	10-15	1-2	+12
Aug 20	Connecticut Sun	Home	W 101-78	27	20	3	4	0	0	9-19	0-2	+22
Aug 18	Atlanta Dream	Home	L 82-97	34	27	14	3	2	4	7-18	1-2	-13
Aug 15	Minnesota Lynx	Home	L 87-92	34	32	7	1	2	1	10-15	1-3	-8
Aug 13	Washington Mystics	Home	W 83-76	35	15	6	4	0	2	5-14	1-4	+8
Aug 11	Washington Mystics	Home	W 86-76	35	26	13	2	2	4	10-18	1-3	+13
Aug 8	Minnesota Lynx	Away	L 87-98	33	16	8	1	1	2	5-17	1-3	-11
Aug 6	Indiana Fever	Away	W 86-84	37	26	13	3	1	2	10-25	0-2	+7
Aug 3	Atlanta Dream	Away	W 109-87	30	23	6	4	0	3	8-11	1-1	+38
Aug 1	Chicago Sky	Away	L 83-84	34	36	12	4	1	2	13-27	1-1	+1
Jul 30	New York Liberty	Home	W 104-99	36	33	10	6	1	2	11-22	1-4	+8
Jul 28	Portland Fire	Home	W 98-83	30	28	14	4	2	0	7-10	1-3	+14
Jul 22	Washington Mystics	Away	L 99-100	35	38	7	5	3	2	12-16	2-3	+2
Jul 20	Toronto Tempo	Away	W 109-83	28	26	6	4	1	4	11-14	3-3	+24
Jul 12	Indiana Fever	Home	L 75-109	31	20	12	2	1	2	9-23	0-1	-13
Jul 11	Phoenix Mercury	Home	W 106-58	25	21	15	3	1	1	8-16	1-3	+30
Jul 9	Portland Fire	Away	W 88-80	30	32	10	3	2	2	10-19	1-2	+25
Jun 28	Chicago Sky	Away	W 107-99	34	30	15	1	4	3	8-14	1-3	+9
Jun 25	Dallas Wings	Home	W 99-84	32	32	9	0	0	0	12-21	0-1	+14
Jun 23	New York Liberty	Home	L 76-87	36	16	9	5	4	0	7-18	0-3	-11
Jun 21	Golden State Valkyries	Home	W 92-73	31	19	9	3	1	2	7-13	0-2	+27
Jun 17	Phoenix Mercury	Away	W 86-76	37	33	10	3	5	2	11-20	0-2	+14
Jun 15	Dallas Wings	Away	L 66-96	26	18	5	2	1	0	8-15	0-2	-18
Jun 13	Minnesota Lynx	Home	W 100-97	32	24	10	1	2	3	9-15	1-2	+3
Jun 11	Portland Fire	Away	W 105-89	36	32	5	4	1	2	10-20	1-2	+24
Jun 8	Seattle Storm	Home	W 101-91	36	34	12	9	1	3	10-19	3-5	+12
Jun 6	Golden State Valkyries	Home	W 84-79	35	28	14	3	0	0	9-17	2-4	+12
Jun 2	Los Angeles Sparks	Away	W 79-69	34	25	15	1	3	5	10-20	1-3	+1
May 31	Golden State Valkyries	Away	W 91-81	36	28	15	4	1	4	11-22	0-1	+11
May 28	Dallas Wings	Away	L 87-95	35	21	7	3	1	0	10-24	1-1	-12
May 23	Los Angeles Sparks	Home	L 95-101	35	24	15	4	2	4	8-20	2-4	-3
May 17	Atlanta Dream	Away	W 85-84	31	20	6	1	0	2	6-12	2-2	-3
May 15	Connecticut Sun	Away	W 101-94	32	45	3	3	1	2	15-18	2-2	+15
May 13	Connecticut Sun	Away	W 98-69	21	22	11	1	0	2	8-15	0-0	+33
May 10	Los Angeles Sparks	Away	W 105-78	30	19	4	3	1	2	7-14	0-2	+19
May 9	Phoenix Mercury	Home	L 66-99	24	19	4	4	2	2	8-15	2-3	-22

Upcoming projection log

Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.

Showing 1-1 of 1

A'ja Wilson upcoming projection log

2026-08-28-tor-lv	Toronto Tempo	Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT	starter	33.0	25.3	9.0	2.9	0.8	37.2

Prediction evidence

Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.

3PM line · Draftkings0.5

Season25/36 overLast 108/10 overLast 54/5 over

Showing 1-1 of 1

Archived pre-tip evidenceUnrankedAug 28, 2026
A'ja Wilson
LV 3PM
TOR @ LV
over LV0.5-211
Model
0.8
Edge
0.3
Cover
59.5%
EV / 1u
-0.123u
Overall zone
-4.6
3PM zone
-0.2
Rebound grade
+8.8
Evidence and notes
Source
Draftkings
Context
High research signal
Over 0.5: model 0.8 vs RotoWire 0.9 vs internal injury model 0.9. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 59.5%, EV -0.123 units per unit risked.

A'ja Wilson prediction evidence
																		Short writeup
—	TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026	A'ja Wilson · LV	3PM	0.8	0.9	0.0	-4.6	-0.2	+8.8	-0.1	0.5-211	over LVArchived pre-tip evidence	0.3	59.5%Market 67.8%	-0.123u-12.3% model ROI	Draftkings	High research signal	Over 0.5: model 0.8 vs RotoWire 0.9 vs internal injury model 0.9. shot zones +0.0, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 59.5%, EV -0.123 units per unit risked.