Las Vegas Aces · 39 completed regular-season games · next model game against Toronto Tempo on Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT.
Matchup-adjusted output, kept separate from the completed-game season profile.
Solid line is the game-by-game trend, dashed line the season average, and the ringed dot at the right edge is the next-game projection.
Raw makes and misses, frequency heat, efficiency heat, shot mix, and zone conversion.
The zone model feeds the points and 3PM projections for the next listed game.
Sample: 38 games and 530 attempts. Last game: 20260823.
Source unavailable
Sort any column, filter home or away and result, and open the opponent or completed matchup.
| Aug 23 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 88-78 | 34 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9-18 | 1-7 | +16 |
| Aug 20 | Connecticut Sun | Home | W 101-78 | 28 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10-21 | 4-9 | +16 |
| Aug 18 | Atlanta Dream | Home | L 82-97 | 35 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-9 | -10 |
| Aug 15 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | L 87-92 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-7 | -5 |
| Aug 13 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 83-76 | 35 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10-14 | 5-8 | +15 |
| Aug 11 | Washington Mystics | Home | W 86-76 | 32 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7-17 | 4-9 | +15 |
| Aug 8 | Minnesota Lynx | Away | L 87-98 | 33 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-6 | -6 |
| Aug 6 | Indiana Fever | Away | W 86-84 | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8-21 | 2-8 | +9 |
| Aug 3 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 109-87 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 11-17 | 4-7 | +26 |
| Aug 1 | Chicago Sky | Away | L 83-84 | 33 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 3-7 | +2 |
| Jul 30 | New York Liberty | Home | W 104-99 | 36 | 29 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7-11 | 3-5 | +8 |
| Jul 28 | Portland Fire | Home | W 98-83 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9-14 | 2-7 | +10 |
| Jul 22 | Washington Mystics | Away | L 99-100 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9-17 | 0-4 | +1 |
| Jul 20 | Toronto Tempo | Away | W 109-83 | 33 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 10-17 | 4-10 | +23 |
| Jul 12 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 75-109 | 32 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 | -17 |
| Jul 11 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | W 106-58 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 | +37 |
| Jul 9 | Portland Fire | Away | W 88-80 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 8-11 | 3-5 | +18 |
| Jul 5 | Indiana Fever | Home | L 68-84 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-5 | -14 |
| Jul 3 | Chicago Sky | Home | W 98-90 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-4 | +5 |
| Jun 30 | New York Liberty | Away | L 85-93 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 12-21 | 3-8 | -6 |
| Jun 28 | Chicago Sky | Away | W 107-99 | 36 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9-14 | 4-6 | +6 |
| Jun 25 | Dallas Wings | Home | W 99-84 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 | +10 |
| Jun 23 | New York Liberty | Home | L 76-87 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9-19 | 1-6 | -7 |
| Jun 21 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | W 92-73 | 32 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9-12 | 3-6 | +24 |
| Jun 17 | Phoenix Mercury | Away | W 86-76 | 38 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-8 | +13 |
| Jun 15 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 66-96 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3-13 | 0-4 | -17 |
| Jun 13 | Minnesota Lynx | Home | W 100-97 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-5 | +5 |
| Jun 11 | Portland Fire | Away | W 105-89 | 35 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-5 | +22 |
| Jun 8 | Seattle Storm | Home | W 101-91 | 34 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10-19 | 4-9 | +15 |
| Jun 6 | Golden State Valkyries | Home | W 84-79 | 36 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8-15 | 6-8 | +13 |
| Jun 2 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 79-69 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7-17 | 2-5 | +5 |
| May 31 | Golden State Valkyries | Away | W 91-81 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9-17 | 5-9 | +12 |
| May 28 | Dallas Wings | Away | L 87-95 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7-20 | 1-5 | -15 |
| May 23 | Los Angeles Sparks | Home | L 95-101 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | -9 |
| May 17 | Atlanta Dream | Away | W 85-84 | 34 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0-12 | 0-5 | +6 |
| May 15 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 101-94 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6-16 | 0-2 | +21 |
| May 13 | Connecticut Sun | Away | W 98-69 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 | +14 |
| May 10 | Los Angeles Sparks | Away | W 105-78 | 31 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8-12 | 2-5 | +25 |
| May 9 | Phoenix Mercury | Home | L 66-99 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5-15 | 2-6 | -24 |
Every game and opponent links back into the research graph.
| 2026-08-28-tor-lv | Toronto Tempo | Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM PT | starter | 33.0 | 19.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 29.8 |
Points, rebounds, assists, 3PM, and derived PRA from the board snapshot remain visible, linked, sortable, and filterable.
Projection context: model 2.2 vs RotoWire 2.1 vs internal injury model 2.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 44.5%, EV -0.165 units per unit risked.
| Short writeup | ||||||||||||||||||
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| — | TOR @ LVAug 28, 2026 | Jackie Young · LV | 3PM | 2.3 | 2.1 | -0.1 | -4.5 | -1.8 | +2.0 | -0.1 | 2.5-114 | No leanArchived pre-tip evidence | -0.3 | 44.5%Market 53.3% | -0.165u-16.5% model ROI | Draftkings | Market matches model | Projection context: model 2.2 vs RotoWire 2.1 vs internal injury model 2.3. shot zones -0.1, injury/rotation -0.1, 33.0 projected minutes, calibrated cover probability 44.5%, EV -0.165 units per unit risked. |